India’s tech sector to surpass $300B by FY26: NASSCOM

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India’s tech sector is on track to exceed $300 billion in revenue by the fiscal year 2026 (FY26), despite prevailing economic uncertainties, according to a recent NASSCOM survey. The report underscores the critical role of artificial intelligence (AI), particularly Agentic AI, in driving innovation and transformation across enterprises. The Global Capability Centres (GCCs) in India are also evolving from cost-saving units to innovation hubs, enhancing their strategic importance. Additionally, the survey highlights how geopolitics and AI-driven workforce upskilling are influencing the sector’s growth. Indian IT firms must embrace AI innovations and rethink business strategies to maintain a competitive edge.

1. Introduction: India’s Growing Tech Sector

The Indian technology sector has emerged as a global powerhouse, playing a vital role in the country’s economy. According to NASSCOM, the industry is poised to cross the $300 billion mark by FY26, fueled by AI adoption, geopolitical shifts, and workforce transformation.

1.1 Revenue and Growth Models

The Indian tech sector thrives on multiple revenue streams, including software services, business process outsourcing (BPO), engineering research and development (ER&D), and domestic IT services. In FY25, the industry is projected to generate $282.6 billion, marking a 5.1% increase from the previous year.

1.2 Global Capability Centres (GCCs)

GCCs in India have evolved significantly, transitioning from cost-efficiency hubs to centers of innovation and digital transformation. These entities now play a critical role in driving AI-led automation and new-age business models.

1.3 Key Players and Market Expansion

Prominent Indian IT companies such as TCS, Infosys, Wipro, and HCLTech continue to dominate the industry. Their revenue growth is largely driven by AI-powered solutions, cloud services, and cybersecurity enhancements.

2. The Role of AI in Driving Tech Sector Growth

Artificial intelligence, particularly Agentic AI, is revolutionizing Indian enterprises.

2.1 What is Agentic AI?

Agentic AI refers to intelligent systems that can operate autonomously, making independent decisions without continuous human intervention. These advanced AI models can optimize business processes, enhance productivity, and streamline operations.

2.2 AI Adoption Across Industries

Major sectors integrating AI include:

• Financial Services: Automating risk assessment, fraud detection, and customer engagement.
• Healthcare: Enhancing diagnostics, drug discovery, and patient care.
• Retail: Personalizing customer experiences and optimizing supply chains.
• Manufacturing: Improving production efficiency and predictive maintenance.

2.3 AI-Driven Transformation of IT Services

Indian IT firms are leveraging AI to accelerate software development, automate mundane tasks, and drive business efficiencies. AI is expected to cut project completion timelines by up to 30%, improving overall profitability.

3. Impact of Geopolitics on the Tech Industry

3.1 Geopolitical Challenges Affecting IT Businesses

Global trade tensions, regulatory changes, and shifting political landscapes influence India’s technology sector. Indian IT firms must navigate these challenges by diversifying markets and strengthening data security frameworks.

3.2 Building Indigenous AI and Language Models

HCLTech CEO C Vijayakumar emphasizes the importance of India developing its own AI language models to reduce dependency on foreign tech ecosystems. This strategic move will help mitigate risks posed by geopolitical conflicts.

4. Upskilling and Workforce Transformation in Tech Sector

4.1 Increasing Demand for AI and Digital Skills

As AI integration grows, companies are investing in upskilling employees. NASSCOM reports that India’s tech workforce grew by 1.26 lakh in FY25, reaching 5.8 million professionals.

4.2 Digital Resilience and Future-Proofing Jobs

Organizations are prioritizing workforce adaptability, ensuring employees are well-equipped to handle AI disruptions. Upskilling programs focus on AI ethics, machine learning, and cybersecurity.

5. Future Projections for India’s Tech Industry

5.1 Revenue and Market Expansion

• IT services revenue to hit $137.1 billion in FY25 (4.3% growth)
• BPO revenue to rise to $54.6 billion (4.7% growth)
• ER&D services to grow at the fastest rate of 7%, reaching $55.6 billion

5.2 Global Competitiveness and Innovation

India’s IT industry must stay agile, continuously adopting emerging technologies to remain competitive on the global stage.

6. Learning for Startups and Entrepreneurs

6.1 Embracing AI-Driven Innovation

Startups should leverage AI-powered solutions to automate processes, enhance decision-making, and drive efficiency.

6.2 Geopolitical Awareness and Market Diversification

Understanding global trade policies and diversifying business models can safeguard startups against external risks.

6.3 Continuous Upskilling and Workforce Development

Investing in employee training and digital skills is essential for long-term success in the evolving tech landscape.

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